Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 10.397971 12.017306 13.751019 15.739078 17.949385 20.324989 23.064797
2025-02-23 8.160840 10.240706 12.609149 15.484714 18.859377 22.671733 27.280638
2025-03-02 6.551804 8.836089 11.579318 15.073276 19.358772 24.396254 30.714140
2025-03-09 5.472128 7.872903 10.894719 14.905914 20.012727 26.216301 34.232684
2025-03-16 4.554739 6.970540 10.148914 14.531882 20.303451 27.522595 37.098827
2025-03-23 3.983566 6.444038 9.810748 14.609896 21.114329 29.452942 40.757569
2025-03-30 3.471274 5.927450 9.417833 14.551923 21.699894 31.073508 44.035529
2025-04-06 3.109784 5.582273 9.219311 14.722115 22.568027 33.062968 47.826867
2025-04-13 2.798197 5.272040 9.033492 14.877982 23.397947 35.004709 51.590723
2025-04-20 2.594273 5.106500 9.041119 15.299930 24.602115 37.476165 56.122066
2025-04-27 2.384108 4.903916 8.968477 15.584905 25.605279 39.685876 60.343178
2025-05-04 2.137984 4.608950 8.720701 15.576771 26.163249 41.272306 63.729423
2025-05-11 1.795226 4.100800 8.085718 14.924973 25.731205 41.438216 65.141975
2025-05-18 1.578118 3.796096 7.759991 14.735833 25.977404 42.572614 67.939885
2025-05-25 1.359472 3.457428 7.342667 14.362184 25.907771 43.225540 70.045707
2025-06-01 1.199998 3.215278 7.072329 14.209961 26.168235 44.362314 72.868627
2025-06-08 1.033455 2.932728 6.700200 13.853447 26.074317 44.948328 74.880519
2025-06-15 0.938289 2.793259 6.582906 13.929989 26.680780 46.609809 78.520409
2025-06-22 0.838712 2.628307 6.400351 13.874758 27.059520 47.921741 81.656949
2025-06-29 0.771638 2.530928 6.342204 14.038865 27.807265 49.823079 85.722861
2025-07-06 0.709448 2.436112 6.280140 14.189053 28.531915 51.701200 89.788325
2025-07-13 0.674975 2.407847 6.353356 14.595463 29.708964 54.324300 95.051573
2025-07-20 0.631946 2.350216 6.358711 14.869984 30.662037 56.607045 99.828825